Well, if you've spent two decades looking at the data and have come to your personal conclusion, then your beliefs on the situation are well developed.

But I look at that field like any other. I have seen people try to make predictions in regards to complex systems, like the economy for example, my whole life. It seems that if you take all of the experts, most will be wrong, and a few geniuses among them, aided with a bit of luck and intuition, get up to a 60-65% accuracy in terms of their predictions.

I believe people should try to make predictions and try to avoid bad outcomes. I also believe we should, by and large, defer to experts. But humans constantly over exaggerate their ability to predict widescale occurences in any reliable way, so I'll always remain openminded to the possibility that it's set to happen again.